As the “Friends of Syria” summit begins this week, intense terrorist attacks are expected all across Syria.
Expectations of a military intervention in Syria were reduced after the “Eager Lion II” military exercises. Meanwhile, the American Axis are back to meeting under the umbrella of the “Friends of Syria Summit”, to discuss sending weapons to the rebels in Syria.
The blocking of “Geneva II” by the US should make the whole region more cautious as it prolongs the Syrian crisis and increases the likelihood of the violence breaking across its borders.
This is the same America that signed “Geneva I” and abandoned it some days after by aggravating the tensions within Syria, starting with the battle in Damascus and then Aleppo directly after.
The Obama administration has officially accused Assad's army to make use of chemical weapons during the conflict that is raging in Syria for more than two years. Damascus would then passed the "red line" so often mentioned by Obama and would thus have provided the ideal pretext for the U.S. to intervene actively with the supply of weapons to the rebels. The statements by the Deputy National Security Advisor to the White House, Ben Rhodes, of course, have attracted criticism of the other major international actor involved, Russia. Through a tweet, the president of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the Duma, Alexiei Pushkov, categorically denied the claims of Rhodes, as well as filing them lies purpose-built as it was in the past for Iraq.
If we analyze the situation more carefully arise doubts to which it would be appropriate to provide adequate answers. If, on the one hand, Washington points the finger at Damascus, the doubts about the use of chemical weapons in Syria remain enormous.
Domenico Quirico is alive. He disappeared in Syria two months ago (9 April) and there were no news ever since. But the inquiries reached a turning point yesterday: Quirico directly called his wife at home. The conversation was very brief; just few fundamental seconds enough to say he is alive and fine.
There are several expected consequences of the battle in Al Quseir, especially the reaction of the anti- Syria group that hopes to improve its negotiations position before the coming of Geneva II.
The increasing talk about deployment of Patriot missile batteries in Jordan might be also part of this tactic. However, the talk about Patriot batteries in Jordan is not new, in fact it may already be a reality.
Syria's conflict has been going on incessantly and it's the same for the repercussions for the area. Lebanon, a country considered a natural extension of Syria for countless factors, has been the scene of clashes increasingly characterized by a high coefficient of violence and intensity. On 26 May, two rockets hit the suburb of Shiyyah in Beirut, a Hezbollah stronghold in the south of the city. The attack led to the wounding of four people, in addition to damage to some residential properties.
Domenico Quirico is missing. He disappeared more than 40 days ago and there is no news yet; the investigation process is stuck, no clues, no evidences, no claim of responsibility, no ransom has been demand. Nothing whatsoever.
Syrian civil war seems able to drag Turkey into its vortex. Yesterday early afternoon, Saturday 11 April, Twin car bombs exploded in Reyhanli, Turkish south-eastern town closed to Syrian border and important destination for Syrian refugees escaping from Assad’s regime. At present, 42 Turkish died, 100 were wounded and 13 Syrian fall victims too.
In the U.S. analysts on the Middle East are evaluating the risks that could be caused by more aggressive effort of the United States to overthrow the regime of Bashar Al Assad.
Failure to act could result in the first place that the weapons given to the rebels could end up in the hands of Islamic extremists in the second place, that Syria will shatter into many sectarian groups.
Tension is increased in the Middle East, from the drone shooting down on 25 April to the airstrikes in Syrian territory on Jamraya and Al Saboura; those events undermined the unstable geopolitical balance.