Speakers at the seminar organized by the Italian Atlantic Committee, in cooperation with "Abhath" Al Thuraya Consultancy and Researches Mediterranean Gulf Forum, at the CASD - Studies Centre for the defense of Rome, last May 7, have questioned the role that Libya It will have in the future Mediterranean scenery.
The possible analysis grid has declined on social action plans, political-military and the size in which the act will consist of the European Union.
After the customary greetings V.Adm. Rinaldo Veri, President of the Centre for High Defence Sudies, it moved to the interventions of Michael Frendo, former Foreign Minister of Malta, who calmly pointed out the problems related to immigration of Mass.
Then intervened Abdul Ilan Khatib, former UN special envoy to Libya and Jordanian Foreign Minister, with a very cautious and diplomatic speech highlighted the need to achieve greater cooperation.
The failure to reach a political solution in Syria has created chaos and is likely to lead to a new phase of escalation and potential division of the country. This is not the first time such possibilities have existed.
Al Baghdadi in pushing terrorist actions in North Africa and with the attack of Paris is applying the tactics of contingency.
There is not an optimal strategy for Isis, jihadi leaders know clearly that it's always the scenario to make a winning strategy. When the theaters of conflict are changed to the saturation of the possible new areas, the psychological defensive ability of the opponents weaken, making useless the prevention.
As the level of extremism across our society reaches an alerting level, there is an urgent need for a strategy to de-radicalize. The increased radicalism is a direct result of failed social policies that have created fertile land for the growth of these ideologies.
“Security is the priority” - This could be the slogan of the coming period for most of the countries in the region. As the Syrian crisis passes through a new phase, and there is a real focus on putting an end to the violence, there will be consequences for the region, mostly regarding security. Most of the countries are expected to face real security challenges, especially those who were part of the conflict in Syria, on political or a geographical level.
Jordan is one of the countries that could face this kind of challenge. Many indicators show that Jordan has adopted more proactive plans that help to maintain the security and stability of the country.
Political and security impacts of the crisis in Syria are rolling through the region. From the political crisis in Turkey to the security impacts in Iraq and Lebanon. Syria’s neighbors should stand ready to deal with the new features of the crisis. Jordan should also be ready to face various scenarios related to the complication of the crisis moving across the Syrian border.
Eleven countries seem ready to increase their engagement in helping rebels group fighting Assad’s regime. That is what emerged from the latest “Syria Friends Group” summit hosted in Doha (Qatar, 21-22 June). Far from the 144 participants of the first Group meeting in Marrakech (12 December 2012), there were only eleven countries in Doha; and yet United States, Great Britain, France, Italy, Germany, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and United Arab Emirates declared themselves ready and inclined to support the anti-regime guerrilla with weapons and equipment supplies. In Al-Thani, Qatar Emir, «force is necessary to achieve justice, and the provision of weapons is the only way to achieve peace in Syria's case». British Foreign Secretary William Hague declarations followed the same line, although he reiterated that London had yet to take a formal decision: «we won't get a political solution if Assad and his regime think they can eliminate all legitimate opposition by force, and so we do have to give assistance to that opposition», he said.
The blocking of “Geneva II” by the US should make the whole region more cautious as it prolongs the Syrian crisis and increases the likelihood of the violence breaking across its borders.
This is the same America that signed “Geneva I” and abandoned it some days after by aggravating the tensions within Syria, starting with the battle in Damascus and then Aleppo directly after.
