Libya is in full civil war as well as without a Constitution. The Constitution must be drafted by a committee chosen from three regions and will have to take into account the various interests federalist rivals as well as requests from the various tribes fighting each other.
The Libyans federalists are based on old divisions arose before the date when Gaddafi came to power in 1969.
The declarations of independence of Cyrenaica and Fezzan region of the South are likely to aggravate the Libyan chaos with a weak government paralyzed by inertia and armed militias with little popular support, Tripoli is held hostage.
La battaglia della notte nella capitale del Burkina Faso conferma le preoccupazioni delle scorse settimane.
Il terrorismo di matrice islamica oltre a globalizzare propaganda e azioni a basso impatto è riuscito a creare un vero e proprio net per il cosiddetto terrorismo molecolare che, anche se solo ispirato, riesce autonomamente ad organizzare attentati ovunque.
After month of stalled negotiations, UN efforts aimed at creating a Government of National Accord in Libya might bear fruit: an Agreement is now ready and the warring parties (Tripoli and Tobruk governments) might sign it this fall.
After the inauguration, last Thursday of the new stretch of the Suez Canal, with great ceremony by the Egyptian government and an exceptional array of security and protection of the event the Head of the Press Office of the Embassy in Moscow Egyptian Aiman Mousa in He explained: it is 72 km of parallel channel to the old built 146 years ago. The new channel will allow ships transiting to proceed in both directions and reduce the waiting period from 11 to 22 hours, increasing revenues.
Central African Republic Crisis
Political violence has been a constant element in Central African Republic (CAR) history. Since 2012, after a 3 year civil war (2004-2007), the Country has been facing a new crisis. After 5/6 months of “gestation”, the actual crisis burst out in March 2013 when Muslim Séléka militias overrun CAR’s Capital (Bangui) forcing President Bozize to flee. In the following months, the crisis lost its early link with political fight and became a pure interreligious conflict: Muslims against Christians, Séléka militias against anti-balaka militias. The very victim of the conflict has been the non-fighting population.
Pieces of news keep arriving from Tunis, where Bardo museum was targeted in a terrorist attack. Questions rise regarding Tunisian forces blitz to set the hostages free as it seems it was inadequate and non-perfectly conducted.
This morning an explosion struck a police station in the center of Tripoli, in the district of Zawiya to Dahani; the attack was immediately claimed on Twitter by ISIS. The police station was occupied by the local Islamic militia led by Abdel Rauf Karah.
The web is bouncing this piece of news: Italian warships, included the amphibious vessel San Giorgio, left Italy and are now moving toward Libya.
Theoretically speaking, the purpose is to carry out a military exercise known as operation Mare Aperto, which has been performed since early ‘90es.
It could be argued that some kind of “shadow objective” is to simply “show the muscles” given the chaotic situation in Libya, quite a common practice as proved, for example, by NATO’s drills in the Baltic republics, by Russian exercises behind Ukrainian border and by Turkish or Greek exercises in the Aegean Sea.
Al Baghdadi in pushing terrorist actions in North Africa and with the attack of Paris is applying the tactics of contingency.
There is not an optimal strategy for Isis, jihadi leaders know clearly that it's always the scenario to make a winning strategy. When the theaters of conflict are changed to the saturation of the possible new areas, the psychological defensive ability of the opponents weaken, making useless the prevention.
Boko Haram continues its terror campaign aiming to the creation of an Islamic state. As we stated in a previous analysis, the possibility of a new entity within Nigerian border has been the focus of debating in within the intelligence community. Like Al-Baghdadi’s Islamic State in Syria and Iraq, this would be the final stage of an evolutionary process. Recent attacks, including those happened in Baga on January 3 and 7, seem to support such idea.
